Oh look, a prediction. I wonder if this is planned more than presumed. If it's predicted, people will expect it and think nothing suspicious when it happens.
The deaths from the virus seem to be varied though, it's difficult to tell just how debilitating it is for a single country as it seems different for each in some way. For all we know it could be more than this or it could be way less.
Let's hope things don't become too bad, all these quarantine efforts have to amount to something.